At GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, Oct. 7, the Kansas City Chiefs meet the New Orleans Saints, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Chiefs should win, according to our computer model — continue reading to find more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Chiefs are averaging 23 points per game on offense this year (15th in NFL), and they are surrendering 18 points per game (eighth) on the defensive side of the ball. The Saints rank 12th with 349 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 16th with 330.3 total yards given up per game on defense.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 33.3%.
• New Orleans has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover once.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• New Orleans games have gone over the point total three out of four times this year.
• This season, Saints games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.9, which is 1.9 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 71.4% in this game.
• Kansas City has covered twice in four chances against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have not covered the spread this season (0-1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• Kansas City games have gone over the point total twice this season.
• The over/under in this matchup is 43 points, 2.4 fewer than the average total in this season’s Chiefs contests.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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