NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21
Published 4:33 pm Friday, February 21, 2025
The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) visit the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) after losing seven road games in a row. The Mavericks are favored by 5.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 8:30 PM ET on Friday, February 21, 2025.
Want to gain an edge on Friday’s game? Check out the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the following article.
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info
- When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
- TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets
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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS
- Kyrie Irving has put up 24.6 points per game during the 2024-25 season, 2.9 points fewer than Friday’s points prop total.
- Irving is 23-for-44 at going over his points prop total this season.
- The Mavericks are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring squad (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans are 27th in points conceded (119.4 per game).
- Dallas is 17-5 when putting up more points than 119.4.
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Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS
- Friday’s over/under for Trey Murphy III is 22.5 points, 0.1 more than his season average.
- Murphy is 23-for-38 at scoring more than his points prop this season.
- The 22nd-ranked scoring NBA team (110.6 points per game) is New Orleans, while Dallas ranks 17th in the league defensively (113.5 conceded per game).
- New Orleans has put together a 10-10 record when it scores more than 113.5 points.
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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)
- Dallas has beaten the spread 30 times in 56 games.
- New Orleans is 23-32-0 against the spread this season.
- As 5.5-point favorites or more, the Mavericks are 10-6 against the spread.
- As 5.5-point underdogs or more, the Pelicans are 12-19 against the spread.
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Pick OU:
Under (237.5)
- Mavericks games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 237.5 points 19 times.
- The Pelicans and their opponents have combined to score more than 237.5 points in 19 of 55 games this season.
- The average total in Dallas’ games this season is 228, 9.5 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
- New Orleans’ matchups this season have a 226.8-point average over/under, 10.7 fewer points than this game’s point total.
- The Mavericks score the eighth-most points in the league this season, while the Pelicans’ offense puts up the 21st-most.
- The Pelicans have surrendered the 27th-fewest points in the league this season, while the Mavericks have given up the 20th-fewest.
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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)
- The Mavericks have won 18, or 66.7%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- The Pelicans have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (15%) in those games.
- Dallas has a record of 12-3, a 80% win rate, when it’s favored by -220 or more by bookmakers this season.
- This season, New Orleans has come away with a win two times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +180 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mavericks have a 68.8% chance to win.
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