Saturday’s contest between the Southern Jaguars (12-8, 7-0 SWAC) and the Alcorn State Braves (4-16, 4-3 SWAC) at F.G. Clark Activity Center has a good chance to be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 75-65 and heavily favors Southern to come out on top. Tipoff is at 6:00 PM ET on February 1.

According to our computer prediction, Alcorn State projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus Southern. The total is listed at 132.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Southern vs. Alcorn State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
• Venue: F.G. Clark Activity Center
• Line: Southern -11.5
• Point total: 132.5
• Moneyline (to win): Southern -752, Alcorn State +490

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Southern vs. Alcorn State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Southern 75, Alcorn State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Southern vs. Alcorn State

• Pick ATS: Alcorn State (+11.5)
• Pick OU: Over (132.5)

Southern is 9-7-0 against the spread, while Alcorn State’s ATS record this season is 11-8-0. A total of five out of the Jaguars’ games this season have gone over the point total, and eight of the Braves’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 138 points per game, 5.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Southern is 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 games, while Alcorn State has gone 7-3 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Southern Performance Insights

• The Jaguars’ +149 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.8 points per game (149th in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per outing (86th in college basketball).
• Southern ranks 62nd in the nation at 34.7 rebounds per game. That’s 4.7 more than the 30 its opponents average.
• Southern hits 6.8 three-pointers per game (277th in college basketball) at a 31.5% rate (300th in college basketball), compared to the 7.8 its opponents make while shooting 35.1% from deep.
• The Jaguars average 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (226th in college basketball), and allow 84.6 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
• Southern has committed 3.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.3 (268th in college basketball play) while forcing 15.4 (ninth in college basketball).

Alcorn State Performance Insights

• The Braves have a -282 scoring differential, falling short by 14.1 points per game. They’re putting up 62.2 points per game, 361st in college basketball, and are giving up 76.3 per outing to rank 303rd in college basketball.
• The 30.7 rebounds per game Alcorn State accumulates rank 282nd in the country, 2.4 fewer than the 33.1 its opponents grab.
• Alcorn State hits 3.8 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5.8 (344th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.6.
• Alcorn State has committed 1.8 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 13.3 (328th in college basketball) while forcing 11.5 (197th in college basketball).

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