Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 1

Published 8:16 pm Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under - January 1

The New Orleans Pelicans (5-28) visit the Miami Heat (16-14) after losing 14 road games in a row. The Heat are favored by 9.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, January 1, 2025.

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Heat vs. Pelicans Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: Gulf Coast Sports and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Pelicans Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 118 – Pelicans 104

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Pelicans

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 9.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-14.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (221.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 222.2
  • The Heat have covered the spread more often than the Pelicans this year, sporting an ATS record of 15-15-0, as opposed to the 12-21-0 record of the Pelicans.
  • When the spread is set as 9.5 or more this season, Miami (2-1) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (66.7%) than New Orleans (3-6) does as the underdog (33.3%).
  • When it comes to going over the over/under in 2024-25, New Orleans and its opponents are more successful (54.5% of the time) than Miami and its opponents (53.3%).
  • The Heat have a .611 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (11-7) this season, higher than the .115 winning percentage for the Pelicans as a moneyline underdog (3-23).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat rank 20th in the NBA with 111 points per game so far this season. At the other end, they rank sixth with 108.7 points allowed per contest.
  • With 43.5 boards per game, Miami ranks 19th in the NBA. It cedes 45.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • The Heat rank 17th in the NBA with 25.4 dimes per contest.
  • Miami is forcing 14.2 turnovers per game this year (12th-ranked in NBA), but it has committed only 12.4 turnovers per contest (fourth-best).
  • The Heat are sinking 14.4 three-pointers per game (10th-ranked in NBA) this year, while putting up a 37.3% three-point percentage (seventh-ranked).

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Pelicans Performance Insights

  • The Pelicans are the third-worst squad in the NBA in points scored (106.7 per game) and 25th in points allowed (117.9).
  • In 2024-25, New Orleans is 24th in the NBA in rebounds (42.9 per game) and fifth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.7).
  • This season the Pelicans are ranked 23rd in the league in assists at 24.5 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, New Orleans is 18th in the league in committing them (14.5 per game). It is 12th in forcing them (14.2 per game).
  • In 2024-25 the Pelicans are second-worst in the league in 3-point makes (11.3 per game) and fifth-worst in 3-point percentage (33.5%).

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