Saints vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

A win by the New Orleans Saints over the Cleveland Browns is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 1 p.m. ET (at Caesars Superdome). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Saints are putting up 22.7 points per game on offense this year (16th in NFL), and they are surrendering 24.6 points per game (23rd) on defense. The Browns have been sputtering on offense, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 16.4 points per game. They have been more effective on the other side of the ball, surrendering 23.7 points per contest (21st-ranked).

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Saints vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (-1) Toss Up (44.5) Saints 25, Browns 18

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Saints Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Saints a 52.4% chance to win.
  • New Orleans has covered the spread four times in 10 games this season.
  • The Saints have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
  • New Orleans games have hit the over six out of 10 times this season.
  • The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, one higher than the average total in Saints games this season (postseason included).

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Browns Betting Info

  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • Cleveland has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover six times.
  • The Browns have been an underdog by 1 point or more six times this year, and covered the spread in three of those games.
  • In Cleveland’s nine contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (postseason included) of 41.4.

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Saints vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Saints 22.7 24.6 23.2 25.2 22.2 24
Browns 16.4 23.7 17 25.2 15.8 21.8

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