Saints vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 7

Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 16, 2024

A win by the New Orleans Saints over the Denver Broncos is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming game, on Thursday, Oct. 17 at 8:15 p.m. ET (at Caesars Superdome). For more information, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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While the Broncos rank fourth-worst in the NFL in total offense with 278.2 yards per game, it’s been a different situation defensively, as they rank fourth-best (284.3 yards per game allowed). The Saints’ defense ranks 23rd in the NFL with 24.5 points surrendered per contest, but they’ve been carried by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by generating 27.8 points per contest.

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Saints vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+2.5) Over (37) Saints 23, Broncos 22

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Saints Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans has put together a 3-3-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • The Saints have covered the spread twice this year (2-2 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • So far this year, four of New Orleans’ six games with a set number have hit the over.
  • This season, Saints games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.2, which is 7.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • The Broncos have an implied moneyline win probability of 59.2% in this contest.
  • Denver has compiled a 4-2-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
  • Denver games have gone over the point total three out of six times this season.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 37 points, 1.5 fewer than the average total in this season’s Broncos contests.

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Saints vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Broncos 18.7 16 18.7 18 18.7 14
Saints 27.8 24.5 28.7 25.3 27 23.7

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