Saturday’s contest that pits the Jackson State Tigers (1-13, 1-0 SWAC) against the Alabama State Hornets (6-9, 2-0 SWAC) at Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center has a projected final score of 78-73 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Jackson State, who is slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 4:30 PM ET on January 11.

Based on our computer prediction, Jackson State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama State. The total has been set at 145.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Jackson, Mississippi
• Venue: Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center
• Line: Jackson State -3.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Jackson State -184, Alabama State +148

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Jackson State 78, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Jackson State vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Jackson State (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Jackson State has gone 7-7-0 against the spread, while Alabama State’s ATS record this season is 6-7-0. The Tigers have a 5-9-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Hornets have a record of 7-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams put up 139.8 points per game combined, 5.7 less than this matchup’s over/under. Jackson State is 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall over its last 10 games, while Alabama State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Jackson State Performance Insights

• The Tigers are being outscored by 20.4 points per game with a -285 scoring differential overall. They put up 61.9 points per game (359th in college basketball) and allow 82.3 per outing (356th in college basketball).
• The 30.9 rebounds per game Jackson State averages rank 285th in college basketball, and are 7.1 fewer than the 38 its opponents record per contest.
• Jackson State makes 6.3 three-pointers per game (312th in college basketball) while shooting 29.1% from beyond the arc (342nd in college basketball). It is making 4.3 fewer threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 10.6 per game while shooting 38.4%.
• The Tigers’ 76.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 361st in college basketball, and the 101.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 351st in college basketball.
• Jackson State has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.7 turnovers per game, committing 14.5 (345th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.8 (119th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 2.4 points per game, with a -35 scoring differential overall. They put up 77.9 points per game (112th in college basketball), and allow 80.3 per outing (343rd in college basketball).
• Alabama State ranks 302nd in the country at 30.3 rebounds per game. That’s 6.6 fewer than the 36.9 its opponents average.
• Alabama State makes 9.8 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball) at a 34.8% rate (131st in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 per game its opponents make, at a 35% rate.
• Alabama State has won the turnover battle by 2.6 per game, committing 9.1 (ninth in college basketball) while forcing 11.7 (206th in college basketball).

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