The Atlanta Falcons will play the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts that the Saints will win — keep scrolling for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Falcons rank 20th in total offense (307.3 yards per game) and 18th in total defense (326.7 yards allowed per game) this year. Things have been positive for the Saints on both sides of the ball, as they are compiling 34.3 points per game (second-best) and allowing only 14.7 points per game (fifth-best).

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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
• New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
• New Orleans games have hit the over twice this season.
• The average total points scored in Saints games this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 60.8%.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
• So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have hit the over.
• The total for this game is 41, 4.2 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season.

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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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