Saturday’s contest that pits the Alcorn State Braves (5-17, 5-4 SWAC) against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-18, 1-8 SWAC) at Davey L. Whitney Complex has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 81-69 in favor of Alcorn State, who is big favorites by our model. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on February 8.

Based on our computer prediction, Alcorn State projects to cover the 9.5-point spread in its matchup versus UAPB. The over/under is currently listed at 145.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Alcorn State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Lorman, Mississippi
• Venue: Davey L. Whitney Complex
• Line: Alcorn State -9.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alcorn State -500, UAPB +360

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Alcorn State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alcorn State 81, UAPB 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Alcorn State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: Alcorn State (-9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Alcorn State is 13-8-0 against the spread this season compared to UAPB’s 9-11-0 ATS record. The Braves are 9-12-0 and the Golden Lions are 13-7-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams put up 136.7 points per game combined, 8.8 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alcorn State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in the last 10 contests. UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Alcorn State Performance Insights

• The Braves have a -280 scoring differential, falling short by 12.7 points per game. They’re putting up 62.4 points per game to rank 361st in college basketball and are allowing 75.1 per contest to rank 280th in college basketball.
• Alcorn State is 257th in the nation at 31 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 fewer than the 32.3 its opponents average.
• Alcorn State hits 6 three-pointers per game (334th in college basketball) at a 33.2% rate (223rd in college basketball), compared to the 9.2 per contest its opponents make while shooting 33.7% from deep.
• The Braves rank 361st in college basketball by averaging 81.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 307th in college basketball, allowing 97.7 points per 100 possessions.
• Alcorn State loses the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 13.6 (336th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.3.

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions are being outscored by 13.7 points per game, with a -301 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.3 points per game (184th in college basketball), and give up 88 per contest (364th in college basketball).
• UAPB comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. It records 30.8 rebounds per game (269th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 35.6.
• UAPB connects on 2.4 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 7.5 (202nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.9.
• UAPB has committed 2.9 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 14.6 (354th in college basketball) while forcing 11.7 (169th in college basketball).

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